Posts

Showing posts with the label interest rates

Property investment simulation

Image
I created a simulator based on price, loan paydown, market value, profit on sale (including RPGT) and compared against using the same cash outlay into FD or investments. Running the 2 investment options against each other, while property wins in the long run, the returns actually flatten out over a long period of time because a cash investment (e.g. even at the safest asset class which is FD) gives an ever growing rate of return while a property's value growth slows after 8 to 9 years! That explains why mortgage portfolios price their rates on an 8-year longevity. Here is the final result of the simulation with the RPGT in place means that while you are better off holding in FD for 5 years, your maximum return is within the 7-9 year window before the property value growth begins to flatten: So you would break even at year 5 and have to hold for a few more years - up to 10 or 11 if you want to cash out more but that's up to you. update: Some anonymous reader ...

EPF 3% reduction - what should you do?

Firstly, on a macroeconomic level, I think this is a good move. Increasing disposable income will increase consumption, hence increase overall economic output - thus the economy will continue to grow. Taking a more nuanced view - even if a lot of the increased income flows to debt reduction, this means less pressure on capital requirements on bank balance sheets. However, revenues will suffer slightly in the short term but in the medium term, this frees up capital to lend - this will stimulate growth. So the debate is raging on social media on what should one do and there are of course all sorts of accusations and pictures of calculations showing how much you will pay on GST, taxes etc .. there are so many angry people out there... sigh My suggestion is very simple - You Do What is Best for YOU . Don't Listen To People Telling You What They Want You to Do Just Because That Is What THEY Want To Do Themselves! So what is best for you? I've broken it down to 3 main categ...

Raising money for that downpayment

It's a Malaysian dream to own a property - our culture is not geared towards renting long-term. Renting is considered something you do either as a student / newly working / a temporary solution if you're prone to being transferred - but in the long run, conventional wisdom is to bite the bullet and buy at least ONE property for your permanent residence. So the conundrum lies in the wherewithal for the deposit and attendant costs. To some, the need is urgent and saving up takes too long - so what are your options? The fastest but most expensive: Credit Card cash advance - that baby will hit you with an 18% p.a. interest rate the moment the cash comes out of the ATM. Do Not Use This Method. Please. Even though it pays my salary. The slightly less fast, also kinda expensive but sort-of bearable: Personal Loan - you can take a bigger amount, take a longer time to pay it off and you have that lump sum to help secure the property you want to buy. Only use this method ...

OPR up 25 basis points

If you are cash rich, then your interest income from fixed deposits will go up. If you are paying off loans, actually you won't feel much because your repayment amount stays the same but the interest portion is now slightly higher. So what you should do, if you have some money in your EPF account 2, is to use that to pay down some of the principle of the loan to ensure your tenure is not extended unduly long. From the human psychology perspective, the rate hike will make house buyers nervous for a while so sales will go down a bit. Eventually though, they will get over it. This means that property prices will stabilise for a while then begin to pick up again because there will be housing pressure from a growing adult population. I believe now is a good time to look for distressed sellers and pick up a good bargain. Some people were very aggressive in buying properties during the boom, with "no money down" using inflated sales agreements - well, think that is goi...